Prior to our present two-party split in the United States, there was the American Whig Party. The Whigs were derived from the English Whig Party, which was essentially an anti-monarchy party, and held a variety of values. For example, they were pro-big government; they believed in the formation of a National Bank; and they wanted the federal government to spend money on things like roads and infrastructure. Sounds like a modern-day Democrat, right? But things got a little weird when the Civil War era started. The Whig party split- those who believed that all blacks should stay slaves remained a Whig, and those who believed in the freedom of all men became a Republican.
I believe that this is similar to what will happen if Donald trump is elected president.
We’ve heard a lot about the “establishment” Republicans and “establishment” Democrats. The reality is that there are people who are willing to play ball with the corruption of the American Political Class; and there are those who stand for their values. For establishment Republicans, we are talking about Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Chris Christie, and John Kasich. Those against the establishment are Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, and Rand Paul. Donald Trump lands somewhere in the middle.
Donald Trump espouses a lot of the political views of the establishment, but the establishment is staunchly against Trump. Donald Trump has created a wedge between the establishment Republicans and the true conservatives- not to mention, the day I started writing this article, Robert Reich said something similar. A Donald Trump presidency will mean the end of the Republican party as we know it.
- Donald Trump is Anti-Fox News. It started with his berating of Megyn Kelly, a hard-line Republican news anchor that just about every Republican loves. His name-calling has caused a rift between his steady 30% supporters and the Fox team. Donald Trump has made Fox the enemy of his campaign, and his supporters will follow suit.
- Hard-line Conservatives are rallying against Trump. Strong conservative leaders such as Glenn Beck, Mark Levin, and Rush Limbaugh have all advocated for Republican candidates other than Trump.
- Those who believe Trump is a crony capitalist are probably right. Crony Capitalism is when business people succeed if and only if they have mutually beneficial relationships with politicians. It is difficult to find evidence that Trump was a corrupt businessman; it will be easier to see that Trump will be a corrupt politician.
- Trump is gunning for George W. Bush. George W. has had excellent approval ratings and awful approval ratings- from a high of 90% to a low of 20%. He is a darling child of the Republican party- generally speaking, Republicans love him. Trump has recently put Bush in his cross hairs, saying that Bush should have stopped the events of 9/11 before they happened– and that under a Trump presidency, he will stop such attacks.
- Trump’s team against Ronald Reagan. Trump has decried the record of Ronald Reagan in his book, “The Art of the Deal”. But now that he is running for president, one would think that he would try to prop himself up as being like Ronald Reagan- you’d be wrong…
- Trump will be impeached. Trump isn’t a man who is okay with not getting what he wants. He is unbelievably prideful and believes he is right all the time. One can only imagine the way he will treat a Congress that can rally and stop his proposed legislation. President Trump will be forced to start throwing around executive orders and the Establishment Republicans (and all Democrats) will be happy to write impeachment legislation.
All of these are leading up to a big problem. Republicans are about to be taken for a ride and it will take a lot to get independents and true conservatives to trust the party again after a Trump Presidency (and probable impeachment). After the events that occurred at Watergate, another Republican impeachment may just require the True Conservative class to split from the Establishment Republicans.
The bad news is, a Trump presidency will probably lead to the death of the Republican party.
The good news is, the death of the Republican party may lead to the birth of a true conservative, Neo-Republican party.
I can’t say which will be better, but I can promise that if Trump wins, things will never be the same.
Edit 2/23/16: Per point #3 that Trump is a crony capitalist (or, more correctly, a corporatist), here is a source that proves that point.